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Expert Systems in Decision Support

R.B.Jones, 82/11/1

Abstract

This paper examines the importance of Expert Systems for the future of the computer industry and of ICL, and considers how 'expert systems' relate to and integrate with the wider range of decision support aids.
The views expressed in this discussion paper are the personal views of the author and have no authority.

The author welcomes comments, but there will be no further issues of this paper.

  1. INTRODUCTION
  2. WHAT IS AN FXPERT SYSTEM
    1. Academic usage
    2. The inevitable future dilution
    3. Japanese usage
    4. ICL usage
  3. EXPERT SYSTEMS AND HARDWARE DEVELOPMENT
    1. The decline and fall of the mainframe
    2. The revival
      1. The need for more processing power
      2. The diminishing importance of chip fabrication technology
      3. The increasing importance of architecture and software
    3. The strength of ICL
    4. The importance of Expert Systems
  4. EXPERT SYSTEMS AND DECISION SUPPORT
    1. Development of existing decision support packages
    2. Ready built expert systems
    3. Knowledge engineering support systems
      1. Expert systems and knowledge bases
      2. Expert Systems and traditional programs
      3. The Knowledge Base Managemnt System
        1. The User Interface Manager
        2. The Central Intelligence Unit
        3. The Knowledge Base Manager
      4. Management of the user interface
      5. Maintaining the Knowledge Base
  5. CONCLUSIONS

References

  1. Dr. B.E.Cooper: Decision Support Systems, version 0 JULY 82.
  2. T.Moto-oka(Ed): Fifth Generation Computer Systems, North Holland 1982.
  3. The Alvey Report. HMSO October 1982.

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