Future "Future Makers"
- Bedroom startups?
Once we were impressed by computer companies emerging from garages.
Now a garage is superfluous, the successor to Bill Gates may be a spotty teenager who did it all from his bedroom.
The capital requirements for being a major force are vanishing.
- Vision decoupled from implementation?
Progressively the key elements for success are isolated and ways are found to build businesses which focus on these key elements.
Nike, is one modern company which has no manufacturing capacity of its own, design being the key element.
- brand the vision, licence/franchise/?, and move
Is the ultimate essential core simply Vision?
In the future will we find the most potent influence and power emerging from corporations or individuals with nothing but vision?
- Diverse participants
- including many independent players.
As major transitions increasingly depend upon broad industry consensus it will be harder to determine them behind closed doors.
Open processes make room for participation from a wider range of contributors.
- low participation barriers, the best ideas win?
- Vision must have consumer appeal
- deliverable through mass media e.g. via sci-fi,
Future major transitions in IT must translate into consumer intelligible benefits to secure the necessary consensus in the industries involved.
created 1997/9/18 modified 1997/9/21